matchup for Cal Quantrill
matchup for Nicky Lopez
10
Nicky Lopez has a 42.1% chance of reaching base vs Cal Quantrill, which is 8.6% higher than Lopez's typical expectations, and 3.1% higher than batters facing Quantrill.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 42.1% | 28.5% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 22.3% | 13.6% | 10.1% |
| Lopez | +8.6 | +4.0 | +0.2 | +0.2 | +3.6 | +4.6 | -6.5 |
| Quantrill | +3.1 | +3.6 | -1.8 | -1.1 | +6.5 | -0.5 | -5.8 |
Nicky Lopez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Cal Quantrill is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lopez has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Cal Quantrill throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Nicky Lopez has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
41%
Cutter (R)
19%
Changeup (R)
10%
Splitter (R)
9%
Slider (R)
8%
Curve (R)
8%
4-Seam (R)
5%
11% of Cal Quantrill's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nicky Lopez has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
11%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Non-Competitive
13%
+0%
Likely Ball
19%
+0%
Meatball
6%
0%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Mid Challenge
9%
-2%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
41% of Cal Quantrill's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Nicky Lopez has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
41%
+20%
Fastball (R)
64%
+11%
Medium Slow Velo
23%
+10%
Offspeed (R)
20%
+8%
Low Ride
32%
+8%
9.2% of Nicky Lopez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.0% lower than the league average. Cal Quantrill strikes out 11.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-9.0%
-6.4%
4%
Walk
+0.8%
+0.9%
36%
In Play
+8.2%
+5.5%
39%
On Base
+4.6%
+4.1%
31%
Hit
+3.8%
+3.2%
14%
Single
+2.9%
+1.0%
13%
2B / 3B
+3.3%
+1.3%
3%
Home Run
-2.4%
+1.0%
51.0% of Nicky Lopez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 16.6% higher than the league average. Cal Quantrill induces Standard Grounders at a 36.6% rate, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+2.2%
0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
+16.6%
+2.2%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.9%
-0.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-3.9%
-2.2%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.3%
+0.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
-3.5%
-1.6%
3%
Likely Homer
-3.0%
-0.2%
1%
No Doubter
-0.9%
+1.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.4%
-0.5%
3%
Pop up
-2.1%
+1.3%
6.8% of Nicky Lopez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 17.5% lower than the league average. 25.1% of batted balls allowed by Cal Quantrill are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+5.0%
-0.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+1.3%
+0.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+9.2%
+0.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+2.0%
-0.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
-17.5%
+0.8%
7.2% of Nicky Lopez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. 13.3% of batted balls allowed by Cal Quantrill are hit at this angle, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+13.9%
-1.0%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.0%
+0.5%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.8%
+0.3%
18%
7 to 18°
-2.5%
+2.7%
15%
19 to 28°
-2.0%
-1.2%
11%
29 to 38°
-4.3%
+1.8%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.9%
-2.3%
8%
Above 50°
-5.0%
-0.9%
Nicky Lopez has 8 plate appearances against Cal Quantrill in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 8 with 2 doubles and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 2.82 | 0.00 | 0.94 | 1.88 | 0.353 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-29 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-06-29 | Double | 33% | 28% | 39% | |
| 2022-10-04 | Groundout | 15% | 85% | ||
| 2022-10-04 | Single | 34% | 32% | 34% | |
| 2022-05-31 | Double | 22% | 49% | 29% | |
| 2022-05-31 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-04-10 | Hit By Pitch | ||||
| 2022-04-10 | Single | 4% | 64% | 32% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
