Matchup Machine

Nicky Lopez

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

369th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Nicky Lopez

40th out of 567 (Best 8%)

Extreme advantage for Lopez
9

Model Prediction

Nicky Lopez has a 37.6% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 4.1% higher than Lopez's typical expectations, and 3.9% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.6%26.6%1.6%5.0%20.0%11.0%14.4%
Lopez+4.1+2.0+0.3+0.6+1.1+2.1-2.2
Anderson+3.9+4.3-1.3-0.2+5.8-0.5-7.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Nicky Lopez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lopez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Nicky Lopez has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

9.2% of Nicky Lopez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.0% -1.9% 4%         Walk +0.8% -1.0% 36%         In Play +8.2% +2.9% 39%         On Base +4.6% -0.1% 31%         Hit +3.8% +0.9% 14%         Single +2.9% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -2.4% -0.2%

History

Nicky Lopez has 4 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual432002110.667
Expected From Contact →0.790.000.060.730.263
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-18Single5%10%84%
2023-06-18Walk
2022-08-14Strikeout
2022-08-14Single63%37%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.