Matchup Machine

Michael Toglia

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matchup for Hunter Gaddis

202nd out of 436 (Best 47%)

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Hunter Gaddis

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matchup for Michael Toglia

416th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Moderate advantage for Gaddis
5

Model Prediction

Michael Toglia has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 3.6% lower than Toglia's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Gaddis.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.1%18.1%4.2%3.9%10.0%10.0%38.9%
Toglia-3.6-1.9+0.6-0.4-2.1-1.6+4.1
Gaddis+0.7-1.3+1.1-0.5-1.8+2.0+11.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Toglia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Toglia has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Michael Toglia has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
31%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

19.7% of Michael Toglia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.6% -0.6% 3%         Walk +3.7% -1.7% 45%         In Play -12.4% +2.4% 39%         On Base +0.1% -5.5% 31%         Hit -3.6% -3.8% 14%         Single -3.5% -2.8% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +3.0% +1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years