Matchup Machine

Michael Toglia

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matchup for Brett de Geus

255th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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Brett de Geus

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matchup for Michael Toglia

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Toglia
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Model Prediction

Michael Toglia has a 37.2% chance of reaching base vs Brett de Geus, which is 5.5% higher than Toglia's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing de Geus.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.2%22.6%3.0%3.7%15.9%14.6%31.1%
Toglia+5.5+2.5-0.6-0.7+3.8+3.0-3.7
de Geus+2.0-1.5+1.0-0.6-1.9+3.5+11.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Toglia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brett de Geus is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Toglia has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Brett de Geus throws a Sinker 54% of the time. Michael Toglia hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
54%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Curve (R)
17%

Contact and Outcomes

19.7% of Michael Toglia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Brett de Geus strikes out 11.4% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.6% -7.5% 3%         Walk +3.7% +3.8% 45%         In Play -12.4% +3.7% 39%         On Base +0.1% +12.0% 31%         Hit -3.6% +8.2% 14%         Single -3.5% +5.2% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% +5.7% 3%         Home Run +3.0% -2.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years