matchup for Dean Kremer
matchup for Michael Toglia
3
Michael Toglia has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 0.7% lower than Toglia's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Kremer.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.8% | 18.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 37.6% |
| Toglia | -0.7 | -0.4 | +0.3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.4 | +0.9 |
| Kremer | -0.3 | -1.8 | +1.0 | -0.4 | -2.5 | +1.5 | +12.4 |
Michael Toglia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Toglia has a D- grade vs this particular release point.
Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Michael Toglia has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
38%
Cutter (R)
25%
Curve (R)
12%
Sinker (R)
11%
Changeup (R)
9%
12% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Michael Toglia has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Meatball
7%
+1%
Strong Challenge
5%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
74% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Michael Toglia has an A grade against this type of pitch from right handers.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Fastball (R)
74%
+20%
19.9% of Michael Toglia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.9% higher than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
10%
Strikeout
+8.9%
-0.3%
3%
Walk
+3.6%
+0.8%
45%
In Play
-12.5%
-0.5%
39%
On Base
-0.2%
+1.3%
31%
Hit
-3.8%
+0.5%
14%
Single
-3.6%
-0.3%
13%
2B / 3B
-3.2%
+0.1%
3%
Home Run
+3.0%
+0.8%
28.1% of Michael Toglia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer induces Standard Grounders at a 31.3% rate, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.8%
+0.6%
34%
Standard Grounder
-6.3%
-3.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.8%
-1.4%
14%
Low Screamer
+1.1%
-0.8%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.9%
-0.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
+2.9%
-1.5%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.0%
+2.0%
1%
No Doubter
-0.3%
+0.8%
20%
Routine Flyout
+1.0%
+2.0%
3%
Pop up
-0.4%
+1.8%
30.5% of Michael Toglia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.2% higher than the league average. 24.6% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-3.0%
+0.2%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.8%
+0.9%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.0%
+0.6%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.0%
-2.0%
24%
Above 100 mph
+6.2%
+0.3%
11.5% of Michael Toglia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. 9.3% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-3.7%
+0.7%
12%
-10 to 0°
0.0%
-3.1%
8%
1 to 6°
-2.0%
-1.2%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.6%
-2.2%
15%
19 to 28°
+0.7%
+1.1%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.1%
-2.1%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.9%
+2.4%
8%
Above 50°
+4.6%
+4.3%
Michael Toglia has 2 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.024 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-08-31 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-08-31 | Forceout | 5% | 95% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
