Matchup Machine

Michael Toglia

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matchup for P. Sandoval

252nd out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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Patrick Sandoval

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matchup for Michael Toglia

247th out of 567 (Best 44%)

Leans in favor of Toglia
2

Model Prediction

Michael Toglia has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 1.7% higher than Toglia's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Sandoval.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%21.5%3.4%4.7%13.4%11.9%34.0%
Toglia+1.7+1.4-0.2+0.3+1.3+0.3-0.8
Sandoval+1.4-1.1+0.8-0.1-1.8+2.5+10.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Toglia is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Toglia has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Michael Toglia hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (L)
27%
   4-Seam (L)
26%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Sinker (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

19.7% of Michael Toglia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.6% +3.4% 3%         Walk +3.7% 0.0% 45%         In Play -12.4% -3.4% 39%         On Base +0.1% -0.2% 31%         Hit -3.6% -0.1% 14%         Single -3.5% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +3.0% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years