Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Michael Toglia

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

184th out of 436 (Best 43%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for Michael Toglia

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Toglia

Michael Toglia has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 3.7% higher than Toglia's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.4%	20.7%	4.3%	4.6%	11.8%	14.7%	30.4%
Toglia	+3.7	+0.6	+0.7	+0.2	-0.3	+3.1	-4.3
Rodriguez	+0.2	-3.9	+1.3	-1.4	-3.9	+4.1	+8.8

Michael Toglia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Michael Toglia has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Michael Toglia hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Michael Toglia has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

19.7% of Michael Toglia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.6% +6.5% 3%

Walk +3.7% +4.1% 45%

In Play -12.4% -10.5% 39%

On Base +0.1% +8.4% 31%

Hit -3.6% +4.3% 14%

Single -3.5% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -3.1% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +3.0% +3.7%

28.1% of Michael Toglia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.3% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.1% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% +0.7% 3%

Pop up -0.4% +0.9%

31.0% of Michael Toglia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.0% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.8% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.5% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.0% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.7% +10.4%

11.4% of Michael Toglia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%