Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Michael Toglia

matchup for Logan Webb

228th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

Logan Webb

matchup for Michael Toglia

242nd out of 567 (Best 44%)

Moderate advantage for Toglia

Michael Toglia has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.5% higher than Toglia's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.2%	23.0%	3.2%	3.9%	16.0%	10.2%	29.2%
Toglia	+1.5	+2.9	-0.4	-0.5	+3.9	-1.4	-5.6
Webb	+1.0	-1.8	+0.8	-1.3	-1.2	+2.8	+7.2

Michael Toglia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Toglia has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Michael Toglia hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Michael Toglia has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Michael Toglia has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

19.7% of Michael Toglia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.6% -0.8% 3%

Walk +3.7% -2.4% 45%

In Play -12.4% +3.2% 39%

On Base +0.1% +1.6% 31%

Hit -3.6% +4.0% 14%

Single -3.5% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -3.1% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +3.0% -1.3%

28.1% of Michael Toglia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.3% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +1.1% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% -7.2% 3%

Pop up -0.4% -1.4%

31.0% of Michael Toglia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.0% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.8% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.5% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.0% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.7% +3.6%

11.4% of Michael Toglia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.8% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.1% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -2.2% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -0.2% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° 0.0% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° +1.2% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% -5.1%

Michael Toglia has 7 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	6	1	0	0	1	3	1	0.167
Expected From Contact →			1.11	0.00	0.01	1.10			0.186

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-20	Strikeout
2024-07-20	Single			36%	63%
2024-07-20	Flyout				99%
2022-09-27	Strikeout
2022-09-27	Walk
2022-09-21	Groundout			73%	26%
2022-09-21	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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