Matchup Machine

Michael Toglia

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

86th out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Michael Toglia

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Duffey
1

Model Prediction

Michael Toglia has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 1.8% higher than Toglia's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%18.7%3.1%3.9%11.7%14.7%36.3%
Toglia+1.8-1.4-0.5-0.5-0.4+3.1+1.5
Duffey-0.6-4.0+0.5-1.4-3.1+3.3+11.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Toglia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Toglia has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Michael Toglia hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

19.7% of Michael Toglia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.6% +3.7% 3%         Walk +3.7% -2.4% 45%         In Play -12.4% -1.3% 39%         On Base +0.1% -5.5% 31%         Hit -3.6% -3.1% 14%         Single -3.5% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +3.0% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years