Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Michael Toglia

matchup for Jon Gray

134th out of 436 (Best 32%)

Jon Gray

matchup for Michael Toglia

161st out of 567 (Best 29%)

Moderate advantage for Toglia

Michael Toglia has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Jon Gray, which is 0.9% higher than Toglia's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Gray.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.5%	23.7%	3.9%	5.3%	14.5%	8.8%	26.9%
Toglia	+0.9	+3.6	+0.3	+0.9	+2.4	-2.8	-7.8
Gray	-0.5	-2.7	+0.8	-0.4	-3.1	+2.2	+9.9

Michael Toglia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jon Gray is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Toglia has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Jon Gray throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Michael Toglia has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

47%

Slider (R)

38%

Changeup (R)

Curve (R)

11% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Michael Toglia has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 6%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

41% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Michael Toglia has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 41%

+17%

Large Break 35%

+14%

Breaking (R) 44%

+14%

Medium Slow Velo 25%

+12%

19.7% of Michael Toglia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Jon Gray strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.6% +3.8% 3%

Walk +3.7% -1.2% 45%

In Play -12.4% -2.6% 39%

On Base +0.1% -0.6% 31%

Hit -3.6% +0.6% 14%

Single -3.5% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -3.1% +0.4% 3%

Home Run +3.0% -0.6%

28.1% of Michael Toglia's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Jon Gray induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -6.3% +0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +0.0% 14%

Low Screamer +1.1% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% -1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.9% +1.0% 3%

Pop up -0.4% +0.4%

31.0% of Michael Toglia's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by Jon Gray are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.0% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.8% -2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.5% +0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.0% +0.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.7% +2.4%

11.4% of Michael Toglia's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. 9.6% of batted balls allowed by Jon Gray are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%