Matchup Machine

Michael Toglia

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matchup for Miles Mikolas

128th out of 436 (Best 30%)

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Miles Mikolas

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matchup for Michael Toglia

204th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Moderate advantage for Toglia
4

Model Prediction

Michael Toglia has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 0.2% higher than Toglia's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Mikolas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%26.2%4.1%5.9%16.1%5.3%32.1%
Toglia-0.2+6.1+0.5+1.6+4.0-6.3-2.7
Mikolas-0.7-1.9+0.9-0.7-2.1+1.2+11.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Toglia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Toglia has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Michael Toglia has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
27%
   Slider (R)
26%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.7% of Michael Toglia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.6% -3.3% 3%         Walk +3.7% -3.9% 45%         In Play -12.4% +7.2% 39%         On Base +0.1% -0.6% 31%         Hit -3.6% +3.3% 14%         Single -3.5% +1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% +1.8% 3%         Home Run +3.0% +0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years