Matchup Machine

Alex Call

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matchup for Zack Wheeler

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Zack Wheeler

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matchup for Alex Call

539th out of 567 (Worst 5%)

Leans in favor of Wheeler
1

Model Prediction

Alex Call has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 4.6% lower than Call's typical expectations, and 5.3% higher than batters facing Wheeler.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.9%16.7%3.0%3.4%10.3%14.2%24.6%
Call-4.6-5.4+0.1-1.2-4.3+0.8+5.7
Wheeler+5.3+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1+5.1-9.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Alex Call is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Call has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Alex Call has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Alex Call's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.0% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.0% +7.8% 3%         Walk +4.1% -2.6% 38%         In Play +2.8% -5.2% 39%         On Base +2.7% -6.5% 31%         Hit -1.5% -3.8% 14%         Single -0.7% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.5% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -1.0%

History

Alex Call has 6 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual661001300.167
Expected From Contact →1.280.000.021.270.214
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-15Strikeout
2024-08-15Groundout46%54%
2023-08-08Strikeout
2023-08-08Strikeout
2023-06-02Groundout7%92%
2023-06-02Single73%26%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.