Matchup Machine

Austin Hays

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matchup for Jared Jones

66th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Austin Hays

373rd out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Strong advantage for Jones
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Model Prediction

Austin Hays has a 26.9% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.7% lower than Hays's typical expectations, and 4.2% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.9%20.6%2.7%4.8%13.1%6.3%32.7%
Hays-0.7-1.5+0.2-0.2-1.5+0.8+5.0
Jones-4.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.3-4.0+4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Hays is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hays has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Austin Hays has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Austin Hays's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.8% +0.4% 6%         Walk -3.2% +0.6% 39%         In Play +1.4% -1.1% 39%         On Base -3.9% -0.1% 31%         Hit -0.7% -0.8% 14%         Single -0.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years