Matchup Machine

Austin Hays

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matchup for Andrew Wantz

35th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Andrew Wantz

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matchup for Austin Hays

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Wantz
5

Model Prediction

Austin Hays has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 1.5% lower than Hays's typical expectations, and 5.7% lower than batters facing Wantz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.1%20.0%3.4%4.2%12.4%6.1%27.3%
Hays-1.5-2.1+0.9-0.8-2.2+0.6-0.4
Wantz-5.7-0.3+0.1-0.1-0.3-5.4+2.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Hays is worse vs right-handed pitching. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Hays has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Austin Hays has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Austin Hays's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.8% +7.5% 6%         Walk -3.2% +2.0% 39%         In Play +1.4% -9.5% 39%         On Base -3.9% -6.5% 31%         Hit -0.7% -8.5% 14%         Single -0.5% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% -3.9% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -0.3%

History

Austin Hays has 2 plate appearances against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.470.420.060.000.474
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-16Flyout42%6%53%
2022-07-07Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.