Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Hays

matchup for George Kirby

105th out of 436 (Best 25%)

George Kirby

matchup for Austin Hays

298th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Moderate advantage for Kirby

Austin Hays has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 1.5% lower than Hays's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Kirby.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.1%	22.8%	2.5%	5.2%	15.1%	3.3%	21.8%
Hays	-1.5	+0.7	0.0	+0.1	+0.5	-2.2	-6.0
Kirby	-2.1	+0.1	-0.2	0.0	+0.3	-2.2	+1.0

Austin Hays is worse vs right-handed pitching. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hays has a B grade vs this particular release point.

George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Austin Hays has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Slider (R)

22%

Sinker (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

12% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hays has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

26% of George Kirby's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hays has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 26%

+18%

Medium Break 18%

+9%

15.7% of Austin Hays's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.8% +0.5% 6%

Walk -3.2% -5.1% 39%

In Play +1.4% +4.6% 39%

On Base -3.9% -3.9% 31%

Hit -0.7% +1.2% 14%

Single -0.5% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% +0.8% 3%

Home Run -0.2% -0.1%

35.0% of Austin Hays's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. George Kirby induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.6% +2.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% +0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -2.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% -0.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +3.1% 3%

Pop up +2.4% +2.1%

27.1% of Austin Hays's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% higher than the league average. 22.6% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.8% -4.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.2% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% +2.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.6% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.8% -1.7%

12.6% of Austin Hays's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by George Kirby are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.5% +2.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.0% +2.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.5% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° -1.8% -5.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.1% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° +1.1% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° -1.4% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° +1.0% +1.9%

Austin Hays has 15 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 14 with a home run, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	15	14	3	1	0	2	2	1	0.214
Expected From Contact →			2.65	0.18	0.41	2.06			0.189

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-19	Lineout		12%	4%	84%
2024-05-19	Pop Out				100%
2024-05-19	Groundout			11%	89%
2023-08-12	Groundout			19%	81%
2023-08-12	Single		2%	91%	7%
2023-08-12	GIDP			14%	86%
2023-06-25	Strikeout
2023-06-25	Single			31%	69%
2023-06-25	Groundout			15%	84%
2022-06-27	Hit By Pitch
2022-06-27	Home Run	18%	23%	12%	48%
2022-06-27	Lineout		3%	7%	89%
2022-05-31	Walk
2022-05-31	Flyout				99%
2022-05-31	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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