Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Hays

matchup for Alex Speas

49th out of 436 (Best 12%)

Alex Speas

matchup for Austin Hays

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Speas

Austin Hays has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 1.5% higher than Hays's typical expectations, and 4.8% lower than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	21.0%	2.3%	5.0%	13.7%	8.1%	27.8%
Hays	+1.5	-1.1	-0.2	0.0	-0.9	+2.6	+0.1
Speas	-4.8	-0.1	-0.3	-0.1	+0.3	-4.8	+3.4

Austin Hays is worse vs right-handed pitching. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hays has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Austin Hays has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hays has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hays has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

15.7% of Austin Hays's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.8% +19.9% 6%

Walk -3.2% -0.6% 39%

In Play +1.4% -19.3% 39%

On Base -3.9% -8.2% 31%

Hit -0.7% -7.6% 14%

Single -0.5% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% -5.2% 3%

Home Run -0.2% +3.3%

35.0% of Austin Hays's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.6% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -7.4% 3%

Pop up +2.4% +8.5%

27.1% of Austin Hays's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% higher than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.8% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.2% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.6% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.8% -10.5%

12.6% of Austin Hays's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%