Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Hays

matchup for Michael Wacha

79th out of 436 (Best 19%)

Michael Wacha

matchup for Austin Hays

227th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Moderate advantage for Wacha

Austin Hays has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.3% higher than Hays's typical expectations, and 3.2% lower than batters facing Wacha.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.9%	23.3%	2.4%	5.5%	15.4%	4.6%	23.6%
Hays	+0.3	+1.2	0.0	+0.4	+0.8	-0.9	-4.2
Wacha	-3.2	+0.2	-0.3	+0.4	+0.1	-3.4	+2.2

Austin Hays is worse vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hays has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Austin Hays has a D grade against right-handed Changeups

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Changeup (R)

32%

4-Seam (R)

31%

Cutter (R)

17%

Sinker (R)

11%

Curve (R)

8% of Michael Wacha's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hays has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

32% of Michael Wacha's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hays has a C+ grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 32%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+11%

High Ride 19%

+9%

15.7% of Austin Hays's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.8% +0.4% 6%

Walk -3.2% -2.0% 39%

In Play +1.4% +1.5% 39%

On Base -3.9% -3.0% 31%

Hit -0.7% -1.0% 14%

Single -0.5% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.2% +0.1%

35.0% of Austin Hays's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha induces Standard Grounders at a 33.6% rate, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.6% -0.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% 0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -1.8% 3%

Pop up +2.4% +0.6%

27.1% of Austin Hays's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% higher than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by Michael Wacha are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.8% +0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.2% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.6% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.8% +2.6%

12.6% of Austin Hays's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Michael Wacha are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.5% -2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.0% +1.7% 8%

1 to 6° +0.5% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° -1.8% +2.8% 15%

19 to 28° +1.1% +0.9% 11%

29 to 38° +1.1% -0.7% 7%

39 to 50° -1.4% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +1.0% +0.6%

Austin Hays has 13 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 13 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	13	13	3	0	1	2	2	0	0.231
Expected From Contact →			3.34	0.01	0.04	3.29			0.257

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-23	Single			91%	9%
2024-08-23	Flyout				100%
2024-04-01	Groundout			3%	97%
2024-04-01	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-08-15	Strikeout
2023-08-15	Flyout				100%
2022-09-27	Fielders Choice Out			4%	96%
2022-09-27	Triple		2%		97%
2022-09-10	Lineout			63%	37%
2022-09-10	Lineout			72%	28%
2022-08-20	Groundout			13%	87%
2022-08-20	Single			79%	21%
2022-08-20	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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