Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Hays

matchup for Seth Lugo

45th out of 436 (Best 11%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Austin Hays

299th out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo

Austin Hays has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.5% higher than Hays's typical expectations, and 4.4% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.1%	23.4%	2.6%	4.6%	16.2%	4.7%	28.6%
Hays	+0.5	+1.3	+0.1	-0.5	+1.7	-0.8	+0.8
Lugo	-4.4	-0.6	-0.6	-0.4	+0.4	-3.8	+3.7

Austin Hays is worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hays has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Austin Hays has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hays has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hays has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

15.7% of Austin Hays's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.8% +0.8% 6%

Walk -3.2% -2.3% 39%

In Play +1.4% +1.4% 39%

On Base -3.9% -0.4% 31%

Hit -0.7% +1.9% 14%

Single -0.5% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.2% +0.1%

35.0% of Austin Hays's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.6% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +2.4% -2.2%

27.1% of Austin Hays's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.8% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.2% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.6% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.8% -1.6%

12.6% of Austin Hays's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%