Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Austin Hays

matchup for Aaron Nola

42nd out of 436 (Best 10%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Austin Hays

460th out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Austin Hays has a 24.9% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.7% lower than Hays's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	24.9%	20.9%	2.7%	5.4%	12.8%	4.0%	36.5%
Hays	-2.7	-1.2	+0.2	+0.4	-1.8	-1.5	+8.8
Nola	-4.6	-1.5	-0.3	-0.8	-0.4	-3.1	+5.7

Austin Hays is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hays has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Austin Hays hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hays has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Austin Hays has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

15.7% of Austin Hays's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.8% +6.3% 6%

Walk -3.2% -2.8% 39%

In Play +1.4% -3.5% 39%

On Base -3.9% -4.8% 31%

Hit -0.7% -2.0% 14%

Single -0.5% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -0.2% -0.5%

35.0% of Austin Hays's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.6% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.5% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.3% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +2.4% -0.7%

27.1% of Austin Hays's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.8% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.2% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.6% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.8% -0.7%

12.6% of Austin Hays's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%