Matchup Machine

Austin Hays

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

150th out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Austin Hays

64th out of 567 (Best 12%)

Moderate advantage for Hays
3

Model Prediction

Austin Hays has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.1% higher than Hays's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%24.2%3.1%6.0%15.1%6.4%23.5%
Hays+3.1+2.1+0.7+1.0+0.5+0.9-4.2
Anderson-3.1+2.0+0.2+0.8+1.0-5.1+1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Austin Hays is better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hays has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Austin Hays has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Austin Hays's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.8% -1.9% 6%         Walk -3.2% -1.0% 39%         In Play +1.4% +2.9% 39%         On Base -3.9% -0.1% 31%         Hit -0.7% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.5% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -0.2%

History

Austin Hays has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332011000.667
Expected From Contact →1.180.070.220.890.395
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-18Flyout6%5%90%
2023-05-18Double2%11%87%
2023-05-18Single7%88%5%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.