Matchup Machine

Jared Triolo

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matchup for Ranger Suarez

154th out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Ranger Suarez

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matchup for Jared Triolo

224th out of 567 (Best 40%)

Moderate advantage for Triolo
3

Model Prediction

Jared Triolo has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 2.6% higher than Triolo's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Suarez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%22.1%2.2%5.3%14.7%11.2%25.6%
Triolo+2.6+1.5-0.7+0.5+1.7+1.2-1.9
Suarez-0.7-2.6-0.3-0.4-2.0+1.9+1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jared Triolo is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Triolo doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Jared Triolo hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Curve (L)
12%
   Cutter (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

16.7% of Jared Triolo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.5% higher than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.5% +0.1% 4%         Walk +1.7% -1.2% 42%         In Play -5.3% +1.1% 39%         On Base +0.8% +1.9% 31%         Hit -0.9% +3.1% 14%         Single -0.4% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.0% +2.2% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.9%

History

Jared Triolo has 5 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual541001110.250
Expected From Contact →1.200.000.061.140.301
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-11Groundout3%21%75%
2024-04-11Groundout29%71%
2023-09-27Walk
2023-09-27Strikeout
2023-09-27Single3%64%33%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.