Matchup Machine

Jared Triolo

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

135th out of 436 (Best 32%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Jared Triolo

225th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Moderate advantage for Triolo
3

Model Prediction

Jared Triolo has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.1% higher than Triolo's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.8%18.5%3.0%4.5%11.0%14.3%26.0%
Triolo+2.1-2.2+0.1-0.3-2.0+4.3-1.5
Anderson-0.9-3.7+0.1-0.7-3.1+2.8+4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jared Triolo is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Triolo doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jared Triolo has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.7% of Jared Triolo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.5% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.5% -1.9% 4%         Walk +1.7% -1.0% 42%         In Play -5.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base +0.8% -0.1% 31%         Hit -0.9% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.0% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.2%

History

Jared Triolo has 6 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual650000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.580.000.020.560.117
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-06Flyout99%
2024-05-06Lineout2%23%76%
2024-05-06Walk
2023-07-23Groundout16%84%
2023-07-23Groundout17%83%
2023-07-23Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.