Matchup Machine

Jared Triolo

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matchup for Martin Perez

154th out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Jared Triolo

86th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Strong advantage for Triolo
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Model Prediction

Jared Triolo has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 3.6% higher than Triolo's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.3%22.7%3.1%4.9%14.7%11.6%20.7%
Triolo+3.6+2.0+0.2+0.1+1.8+1.5-6.8
Perez-0.3-2.6+0.1-0.5-2.2+2.3+2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jared Triolo is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Triolo doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Jared Triolo hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.7% of Jared Triolo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.5% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.5% -6.1% 4%         Walk +1.7% -0.3% 42%         In Play -5.3% +6.4% 39%         On Base +0.8% +5.9% 31%         Hit -0.9% +6.3% 14%         Single -0.4% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.0% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.6%

History

Jared Triolo has 2 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →1.230.230.440.570.617
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-14Single56%44%
2024-08-14Lineout23%43%33%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.