Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Josh Smith

matchup for Will Warren

170th out of 436 (Best 40%)

Will Warren

matchup for Josh Smith

259th out of 567 (Best 47%)

Leans in favor of Smith

Josh Smith has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Will Warren, which is 1.1% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Warren.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.8%	22.4%	2.1%	6.0%	14.3%	9.5%	24.1%
Smith	+1.1	-0.1	+0.1	+0.4	-0.7	+1.2	+1.4
Warren	-1.7	+0.5	-0.6	+0.6	+0.5	-2.2	-2.2

Josh Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Will Warren is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Smith has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Will Warren throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Josh Smith has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

28%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

10%

Cutter (R)

9% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Josh Smith has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

36% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Josh Smith has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 36%

+24%

Extreme Break 33%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

13.5% of Josh Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Will Warren strikes out 20.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.8% +3.0% 5%

Walk -1.2% +1.4% 38%

In Play +3.0% -4.3% 39%

On Base +1.8% -0.5% 31%

Hit +3.0% -1.8% 14%

Single +1.6% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B +2.1% -1.5% 3%

Home Run -0.7% +1.6%

31.8% of Josh Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Will Warren induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% -2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.8% +1.8% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.3% +7.7% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -2.8%

19.6% of Josh Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% -9.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.2% -5.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.8% +6.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% +6.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.7% +2.1%

14.0% of Josh Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%