Matchup Machine

Josh Smith

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matchup for Naoyuki Uwasawa

259th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Naoyuki Uwasawa

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matchup for Josh Smith

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Smith
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Model Prediction

Josh Smith has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Naoyuki Uwasawa, which is 2.1% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Uwasawa.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.9%23.2%1.9%6.4%14.8%9.8%19.9%
Smith+2.1+0.6-0.1+0.9-0.2+1.5-2.9
Uwasawa+0.4+0.6-0.8+0.7+0.7-0.2-3.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Josh Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Naoyuki Uwasawa is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Naoyuki Uwasawa throws a Splitter 53% of the time. Josh Smith hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Splitter (R)
53%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Cutter (R)
13%
   Slider (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.5% of Josh Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Naoyuki Uwasawa strikes out 10.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.8% -3.3% 5%         Walk -1.2% +6.2% 38%         In Play +3.0% -2.9% 39%         On Base +1.8% -10.0% 31%         Hit +3.0% -16.2% 14%         Single +1.6% -6.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% -6.4% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -3.0%

History

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