Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Josh Smith

matchup for Jared Jones

192nd out of 436 (Best 45%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Josh Smith

391st out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Leans in favor of Jones

Josh Smith has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.6% lower than Smith's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.2%	20.0%	2.1%	5.4%	12.6%	10.2%	26.9%
Smith	-0.6	-2.5	+0.1	-0.1	-2.4	+1.9	+4.1
Jones	-0.9	-0.8	-0.9	+0.3	-0.3	-0.1	-1.7

Josh Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Smith has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Josh Smith has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Josh Smith has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Josh Smith has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

13.5% of Josh Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.8% +0.4% 5%

Walk -1.2% +0.6% 38%

In Play +3.0% -1.1% 39%

On Base +1.8% -0.1% 31%

Hit +3.0% -0.8% 14%

Single +1.6% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +2.1% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.7% +0.9%

31.8% of Josh Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.8% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.3% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +2.5%

19.6% of Josh Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.2% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.8% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.7% +0.4%

14.0% of Josh Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%