Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Josh Smith

matchup for Penn Murfee

151st out of 436 (Best 35%)

Penn Murfee

matchup for Josh Smith

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Murfee

Josh Smith has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Penn Murfee, which is 2.4% lower than Smith's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Murfee.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.4%	19.9%	1.8%	5.0%	13.1%	8.5%	25.9%
Smith	-2.4	-2.6	-0.2	-0.5	-1.9	+0.3	+3.2
Murfee	-1.5	+0.2	-0.8	+0.8	+0.2	-1.7	-1.8

Josh Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Penn Murfee is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Smith has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Penn Murfee throws a Slider 52% of the time. Josh Smith has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

52%

4-Seam (R)

41%

Sinker (R)

14% of Penn Murfee's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Josh Smith has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

38% of Penn Murfee's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Josh Smith has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 38%

+33%

Extreme Slow Velo 35%

+30%

Breaking (R) 53%

+22%

Just Gravity 34%

+21%

13.5% of Josh Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Penn Murfee strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.8% +8.1% 5%

Walk -1.2% -1.7% 38%

In Play +3.0% -6.4% 39%

On Base +1.8% -4.8% 31%

Hit +3.0% -3.1% 14%

Single +1.6% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B +2.1% +0.2% 3%

Home Run -0.7% -3.0%

31.8% of Josh Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Penn Murfee induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% -0.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -5.1% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% +4.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% -2.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.8% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.3% +1.8% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +2.9%

19.6% of Josh Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. 14.5% of batted balls allowed by Penn Murfee are hit at above 100 mph, which is 9.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% +12.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.2% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.8% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.7% -9.8%

14.0% of Josh Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 15.2% of batted balls allowed by Penn Murfee are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.3% -1.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.4% -1.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.1% 18%

7 to 18° +1.3% -3.7% 15%

19 to 28° -1.3% +1.3% 11%

29 to 38° +2.5% +3.8% 7%

39 to 50° +1.0% -0.4% 8%

Above 50° +1.1% +3.8%

Josh Smith has 1 plate appearance against Penn Murfee in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.75	0.00	0.03	0.72			0.750

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-08-13	Single		3%	72%	25%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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