Matchup Machine

Josh Smith

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matchup for Brady Basso

107th out of 436 (Best 25%)

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Brady Basso

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matchup for Josh Smith

210th out of 567 (Best 38%)

Moderate advantage for Smith
3

Model Prediction

Josh Smith has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Brady Basso, which is 0.0% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Basso.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%24.1%2.5%5.8%15.8%6.7%18.8%
Smith+0.0+1.6+0.5+0.3+0.8-1.6-3.9
Basso-2.8-0.6-0.5+0.6-0.6-2.2-1.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Josh Smith is worse vs left-handed pitching. Brady Basso is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Smith has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Brady Basso throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Josh Smith has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Curve (L)
21%
   Cutter (L)
13%
   Changeup (L)
12%
   Slider (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.5% of Josh Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Brady Basso strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.8% -4.6% 5%         Walk -1.2% -2.3% 38%         In Play +3.0% +6.9% 39%         On Base +1.8% +6.4% 31%         Hit +3.0% +8.6% 14%         Single +1.6% +3.8% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% +4.3% 3%         Home Run -0.7% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years