Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Josh Smith

matchup for Jake Irvin

173rd out of 436 (Best 40%)

Jake Irvin

matchup for Josh Smith

109th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Strong advantage for Smith

Josh Smith has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Jake Irvin, which is 3.0% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Irvin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.8%	24.9%	1.9%	6.3%	16.7%	8.9%	19.6%
Smith	+3.0	+2.4	-0.1	+0.8	+1.7	+0.7	-3.1
Irvin	-0.2	+0.4	-1.3	+0.9	+0.8	-0.6	-0.3

Josh Smith is better vs right-handed pitching. Jake Irvin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Smith has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Jake Irvin throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Josh Smith has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Curve (R)

31%

Sinker (R)

26%

10% of Jake Irvin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Josh Smith has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

17% of Jake Irvin's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Josh Smith has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 17%

+12%

Fastball (R) 65%

+11%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Large Drop 15%

+10%

13.5% of Josh Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Jake Irvin strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.8% -4.3% 5%

Walk -1.2% -0.5% 38%

In Play +3.0% +4.8% 39%

On Base +1.8% +1.3% 31%

Hit +3.0% +1.9% 14%

Single +1.6% +0.3% 13%

2B / 3B +2.1% +0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.7% +1.1%

31.8% of Josh Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Jake Irvin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% +1.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +3.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% +2.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.8% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.3% -4.9% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -1.5%

19.6% of Josh Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Jake Irvin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.0% -7.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.2% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +3.8% -1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% +4.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.7% +3.6%

14.0% of Josh Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 9.7% of batted balls allowed by Jake Irvin are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%