matchup for Tyler Anderson
matchup for Josh Smith
7
Josh Smith has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.1% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Anderson.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 33.7% | 22.5% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 18.8% |
| Smith | +2.1 | 0.0 | +0.6 | +0.5 | -1.2 | +2.2 | -3.7 |
| Anderson | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.4 | +0.5 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -1.3 |
Josh Smith is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Smith doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Josh Smith has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
38%
Changeup (L)
32%
Cutter (L)
22%
Sinker (L)
7%
7% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Josh Smith hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
7%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Likely Ball
19%
-1%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Weak Challenge
7%
-2%
32% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Josh Smith hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Offspeed (L)
32%
+19%
Low Ride
40%
+17%
Fastball (L)
67%
+12%
Extreme Slow Velo
20%
+12%
Large Break
31%
+9%
13.5% of Josh Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-1.9%
-2.0%
5%
Walk
-0.8%
-1.0%
38%
In Play
+2.8%
+3.0%
39%
On Base
+1.7%
0.0%
31%
Hit
+2.5%
+1.0%
14%
Single
+1.4%
+0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.8%
+0.6%
3%
Home Run
-0.7%
0.0%
32.0% of Josh Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.7%
+0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
-2.4%
-2.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.0%
-1.8%
14%
Low Screamer
+0.5%
+1.5%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.3%
+0.7%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.3%
-0.3%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.8%
+0.1%
1%
No Doubter
-1.1%
-0.4%
20%
Routine Flyout
+1.2%
+1.3%
3%
Pop up
+0.7%
+1.6%
19.4% of Josh Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.9% lower than the league average. 22.5% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Anderson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+1.9%
+4.0%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.7%
-0.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+3.8%
+0.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
0.0%
-2.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
-4.9%
-1.8%
14.0% of Josh Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Anderson are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-3.3%
-2.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.2%
-1.7%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.2%
+0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.2%
+0.7%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.3%
+0.4%
11%
29 to 38°
+2.5%
+0.1%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.9%
+0.4%
8%
Above 50°
+1.0%
+2.6%
Josh Smith has 4 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.097 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-07 | Flyout | 2% | 97% | ||
| 2024-09-07 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-05-17 | Double | 16% | 20% | 64% | |
| 2024-05-17 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
