Matchup Machine

      Josh Smith

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      matchup for Martin Perez

      186th out of 436 (Best 43%)

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      Martin Perez

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      matchup for Josh Smith

      161st out of 564 (Best 29%)

      Moderate advantage for Smith
      5

      Model Prediction

      Josh Smith has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 2.1% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Perez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Josh Smith is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Smith doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Josh Smith has an A grade against left-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
      34%
         Changeup (L)
      25%
         Cutter (L)
      25%
         4-Seam (L)
      8%
         Curve (L)
      7%

      Contact and Outcomes

      13.5% of Josh Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 12.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.9% -5.7% 5%         Walk -0.8% -0.2% 38%         In Play +2.8% +5.9% 39%         On Base +1.7% +5.6% 31%         Hit +2.5% +5.8% 14%         Single +1.4% +3.3% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% +3.1% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.6%

      History

      No History in the last 3 years