matchup for Adrian Morejon
matchup for Jake Burger
3
Jake Burger has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 0.8% lower than Burger's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Morejon.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 28.9% | 23.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 26.3% |
| Burger | -0.8 | -0.8 | -0.1 | -1.4 | +0.7 | 0.0 | -0.5 |
| Morejon | -2.1 | +1.1 | +0.1 | -0.2 | +1.2 | -3.1 | +1.6 |
Jake Burger is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Burger has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Jake Burger has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
43%
Slider (L)
21%
Sinker (L)
18%
Curve (L)
9%
Changeup (L)
6%
14% of Adrian Morejon's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jake Burger has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Weak Challenge
11%
+2%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Chaser
6%
0%
Likely Ball
18%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
Meatball
1%
-4%
39% of Adrian Morejon's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 35% higher than the MLB average. Jake Burger has a C- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Fast Velo
39%
+35%
Medium Break
34%
+15%
15.4% of Jake Burger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+1.4%
+1.9%
6%
Walk
-3.3%
-0.9%
39%
In Play
+1.9%
-1.0%
39%
On Base
-1.2%
+0.0%
31%
Hit
+2.1%
+0.9%
14%
Single
-0.6%
+0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.1%
+0.7%
3%
Home Run
+2.8%
-0.2%
34.8% of Jake Burger's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Adrian Morejon induces Standard Grounders at a 39.5% rate, which is 5.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.2%
+0.6%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.4%
+5.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+3.1%
-0.8%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.5%
-1.6%
9%
Rising Liner
-2.6%
-0.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
0.0%
+0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.9%
-1.6%
1%
No Doubter
+1.0%
-0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
-4.3%
-0.2%
3%
Pop up
+3.0%
-1.2%
39.6% of Jake Burger's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.3% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Adrian Morejon are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.2%
+3.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.7%
+0.9%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-5.8%
+1.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-6.6%
-3.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
+15.3%
-2.8%
9.5% of Jake Burger's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Adrian Morejon are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.2%
+6.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.9%
-3.4%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.1%
+0.9%
18%
7 to 18°
-5.4%
-1.8%
15%
19 to 28°
+0.6%
+4.4%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.9%
+0.1%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.7%
-5.0%
8%
Above 50°
+2.4%
-1.3%
Jake Burger has 2 plate appearances against Adrian Morejon in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.02 | 0.59 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.512 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-08-10 | Home Run | 59% | 21% | 19% | |
| 2024-05-27 | Groundout | 21% | 79% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
