Matchup Machine

Jake Burger

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matchup for Mason Englert

146th out of 436 (Best 34%)

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Mason Englert

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matchup for Jake Burger

238th out of 567 (Best 43%)

Leans in favor of Burger
2

Model Prediction

Jake Burger has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Mason Englert, which is 0.3% higher than Burger's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Englert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%25.0%3.0%5.8%16.3%4.7%20.8%
Burger-0.3+0.7+0.2+0.2+0.3-1.0-4.8
Englert-1.8+1.2-0.1-0.3+1.6-3.0+0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Burger is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Mason Englert is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Burger has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Mason Englert throws a Slider 33% of the time. Jake Burger has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
33%
   4-Seam (R)
29%
   Changeup (R)
28%
   Curve (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of Jake Burger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% higher than the league average. Mason Englert strikes out 10.9% of the batters he faces, which is 5.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.3% -5.9% 6%         Walk -3.2% -3.9% 39%         In Play +1.9% +9.8% 39%         On Base -1.0% -6.1% 31%         Hit +2.3% -2.2% 14%         Single -0.4% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% -1.7% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +1.7%

History

Jake Burger has 1 plate appearance against Mason Englert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.770.000.010.770.773
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-26Lineout77%23%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.