Matchup Machine

Jake Burger

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matchup for Ryan Feltner

356th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Ryan Feltner

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matchup for Jake Burger

35th out of 567 (Best 7%)

Extreme advantage for Burger
9

Model Prediction

Jake Burger has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 4.1% higher than Burger's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Feltner.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.1%27.9%3.0%7.8%17.1%6.2%19.3%
Burger+4.1+3.6+0.3+2.2+1.1+0.5-6.4
Feltner+0.7+3.2+0.2+1.8+1.3-2.5-0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Burger is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Burger has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Jake Burger has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
36%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Sinker (R)
15%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Curve (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of Jake Burger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% higher than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.3% -5.1% 6%         Walk -3.2% 0.0% 39%         In Play +1.9% +5.1% 39%         On Base -1.0% +5.3% 31%         Hit +2.3% +5.3% 14%         Single -0.4% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +2.7% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +0.1%

History

Jake Burger has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual310000020.000
Expected From Contact →0.700.570.120.000.699
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-26Walk
2024-08-26Walk
2024-08-26Flyout57%12%30%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.