Jake Burger has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 4.1% higher than Burger's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Feltner.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 34.1% | 27.9% | 3.0% | 7.8% | 17.1% | 6.2% | 19.3% |
Burger | +4.1 | +3.6 | +0.3 | +2.2 | +1.1 | +0.5 | -6.4 |
Feltner | +0.7 | +3.2 | +0.2 | +1.8 | +1.3 | -2.5 | -0.9 |
Jake Burger is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Burger has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Jake Burger has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
15.4% of Jake Burger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% higher than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Jake Burger has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with 2 walks
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.70 | 0.57 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.699 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-08-26 | Walk | ||||
2024-08-26 | Walk | ||||
2024-08-26 | Flyout | 57% | 12% | 30% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.