Matchup Machine

Jake Burger

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matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

66th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Elvin Rodriguez

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matchup for Jake Burger

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Burger
3

Model Prediction

Jake Burger has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 1.5% higher than Burger's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%25.3%2.9%5.8%16.6%6.2%24.5%
Burger+1.5+1.0+0.1+0.3+0.6+0.5-1.2
Rodriguez-3.8+0.7-0.1-0.1+0.9-4.5+2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Burger is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Jake Burger has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of Jake Burger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.3% +6.5% 6%         Walk -3.2% +4.1% 39%         In Play +1.9% -10.5% 39%         On Base -1.0% +8.4% 31%         Hit +2.3% +4.3% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +3.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years