Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Burger

matchup for Dylan Cease

203rd out of 436 (Best 47%)

Dylan Cease

matchup for Jake Burger

447th out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Moderate advantage for Cease

Jake Burger has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Cease, which is 2.1% lower than Burger's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Cease.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.9%	21.6%	1.9%	5.3%	14.4%	6.3%	25.5%
Burger	-2.1	-2.7	-0.9	-0.2	-1.6	+0.6	-0.1
Cease	-2.0	+1.9	-0.2	+0.9	+1.2	-3.9	-1.0

Jake Burger is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dylan Cease is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Burger has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Dylan Cease throws a Slider 43% of the time. Jake Burger has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

43%

4-Seam (R)

42%

Kn-Curve (R)

12%

23% of Dylan Cease's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jake Burger has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

55% of Dylan Cease's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Jake Burger has an A grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 55%

+24%

Minimal Break 30%

+21%

Very Fast Velo 23%

+15%

High Ride 22%

+12%

15.4% of Jake Burger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% higher than the league average. Dylan Cease strikes out 19.1% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.3% +6.3% 6%

Walk -3.2% +1.0% 39%

In Play +1.9% -7.3% 39%

On Base -1.0% -3.9% 31%

Hit +2.3% -4.8% 14%

Single -0.4% -2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +0.1% -2.0% 3%

Home Run +2.5% -0.3%

34.7% of Jake Burger's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. Dylan Cease induces Standard Grounders at a 31.2% rate, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.3% -3.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +3.2% -2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -2.4% +1.9% 9%

Rising Liner -2.5% +2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer 0.0% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +1.8% +1.4% 1%

No Doubter +1.1% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.4% -1.7% 3%

Pop up +3.0% +1.5%

39.7% of Jake Burger's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 15.4% higher than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Cease are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.2% -0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.7% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -6.0% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -6.6% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +15.4% +1.0%

9.7% of Jake Burger's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Cease are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.0% -0.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.0% -1.6% 8%

1 to 6° +2.1% -1.5% 18%

7 to 18° -5.3% +0.1% 15%

19 to 28° +0.4% +0.6% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% -0.3% 7%

39 to 50° -0.7% -0.5% 8%

Above 50° +2.3% +3.3%

Jake Burger has 3 plate appearances against Dylan Cease in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	0.667
Expected From Contact →			1.18	0.53	0.20	0.44			0.393

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-11	Single			44%	56%
2024-08-11	Flyout				99%
2024-08-11	Home Run	53%	19%		27%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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