Matchup Machine

Xavier Edwards

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matchup for S. Woods Rich.

279th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Simeon Woods Rich.

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matchup for Xavier Edwards

121st out of 567 (Best 22%)

Strong advantage for Edwards
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Model Prediction

Xavier Edwards has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 2.4% higher than Edwards's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Woods Rich..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.5%27.1%2.0%5.4%19.8%8.4%16.2%
Edwards+2.4+2.7+0.5+0.3+2.0-0.3-1.8
Woods Rich.+1.4+2.6-1.4+0.3+3.7-1.2-5.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Xavier Edwards is better vs right-handed pitching. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Edwards doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Xavier Edwards has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

11.8% of Xavier Edwards's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -6.3% -3.3% 4%         Walk +1.6% +1.1% 42%         In Play +4.7% +2.2% 39%         On Base +8.3% +4.2% 31%         Hit +6.7% +3.1% 14%         Single +4.7% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.7% +1.3% 3%         Home Run -2.6% +1.0%

History

Xavier Edwards has 2 plate appearances against Simeon Woods Rich. in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222002001.000
Expected From Contact →1.230.000.011.220.613
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-25Single67%32%
2024-09-25Single54%45%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.