Matchup Machine

Xavier Edwards

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

323rd out of 436 (Worst 26%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Xavier Edwards

368th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Leans in favor of Edwards
2

Model Prediction

Xavier Edwards has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.1% lower than Edwards's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%24.8%1.0%5.6%18.1%7.1%17.0%
Edwards-1.1+0.4-0.5+0.5+0.4-1.6-1.0
Weathers+2.0+3.3-1.1+0.1+4.2-1.2-7.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Xavier Edwards is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Edwards doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Xavier Edwards hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

11.8% of Xavier Edwards's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -6.3% -2.1% 4%         Walk +1.6% -0.6% 42%         In Play +4.7% +2.7% 39%         On Base +8.3% +0.9% 31%         Hit +6.7% +1.5% 14%         Single +4.7% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +4.7% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -2.6% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years