Matchup Machine

Xavier Edwards

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matchup for Logan Webb

243rd out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Xavier Edwards

341st out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Moderate advantage for Edwards
3

Model Prediction

Xavier Edwards has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.3% higher than Edwards's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%25.6%1.2%4.9%19.5%7.1%17.3%
Edwards-0.3+1.2-0.3-0.2+1.8-1.6-0.7
Webb+0.5+0.9-1.2-0.3+2.4-0.3-4.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Xavier Edwards is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Edwards has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Xavier Edwards hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

11.8% of Xavier Edwards's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -6.3% -0.8% 4%         Walk +1.6% -2.4% 42%         In Play +4.7% +3.2% 39%         On Base +8.3% +1.6% 31%         Hit +6.7% +4.0% 14%         Single +4.7% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +4.7% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -2.6% -1.3%

History

Xavier Edwards has 2 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.380.000.020.360.190
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-20Groundout2%31%67%
2023-05-20Groundout5%95%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.