matchup for Seth Lugo
matchup for Xavier Edwards
2
Xavier Edwards has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.8% lower than Edwards's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Lugo.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.8% | 25.4% | 1.6% | 5.1% | 18.7% | 6.3% | 19.8% |
| Edwards | -0.8 | +1.3 | +0.2 | -0.2 | +1.2 | -2.0 | +1.9 |
| Lugo | -0.7 | +1.6 | -1.5 | +0.1 | +2.9 | -2.3 | -5.1 |
Xavier Edwards is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Edwards has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.
Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Xavier Edwards has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
29%
Curve (R)
28%
Sinker (R)
17%
Slider (R)
13%
Changeup (R)
6%
10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Xavier Edwards hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
10%
+2%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Chaser
6%
0%
Non-Competitive
12%
-1%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-1%
25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Xavier Edwards hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Drop
25%
+20%
Large Break
18%
+13%
Extreme Slow Velo
16%
+11%
Breaking (R)
41%
+10%
11.8% of Xavier Edwards's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-6.3%
+0.8%
4%
Walk
+1.6%
-2.3%
42%
In Play
+4.7%
+1.4%
39%
On Base
+8.3%
-0.4%
31%
Hit
+6.7%
+1.9%
14%
Single
+4.7%
+0.7%
13%
2B / 3B
+4.7%
+1.1%
3%
Home Run
-2.6%
+0.1%
44.8% of Xavier Edwards's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 10.4% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+2.3%
+1.4%
34%
Standard Grounder
+10.4%
+1.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
-5.4%
-1.6%
14%
Low Screamer
+6.7%
+0.5%
9%
Rising Liner
-2.1%
-1.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
-3.4%
-0.5%
3%
Likely Homer
-3.4%
+2.1%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
-0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
-2.1%
-0.1%
3%
Pop up
-1.8%
-2.2%
2.5% of Xavier Edwards's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 21.8% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+8.1%
+1.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+4.0%
+0.9%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+11.9%
-1.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.2%
+0.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
-21.8%
-1.6%
12.1% of Xavier Edwards's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+5.1%
+2.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
+2.2%
-0.2%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.1%
+1.3%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.5%
-2.0%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.8%
-1.4%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.6%
+2.6%
7%
39 to 50°
-4.0%
+0.4%
8%
Above 50°
-2.5%
-2.9%
No History in the last 3 years
