Matchup Machine

Nolan Gorman

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matchup for Ryan Feltner

327th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Ryan Feltner

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matchup for Nolan Gorman

67th out of 567 (Best 13%)

Strong advantage for Gorman
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Model Prediction

Nolan Gorman has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 3.4% higher than Gorman's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Feltner.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.3%23.9%4.5%8.1%11.3%9.4%29.1%
Gorman+3.4+3.3+0.6+2.6+0.1+0.2-6.3
Feltner-0.1-0.8+1.6+2.1-4.5+0.7+8.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Nolan Gorman is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gorman has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Nolan Gorman has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
36%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Sinker (R)
15%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Curve (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

22.7% of Nolan Gorman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 9%         Strikeout +13.6% -5.1% 4%         Walk +0.6% 0.0% 45%         In Play -14.1% +5.1% 39%         On Base -6.1% +5.3% 31%         Hit -6.7% +5.3% 14%         Single -5.0% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -4.6% +2.7% 3%         Home Run +2.9% +0.1%

History

Nolan Gorman has 5 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551010100.200
Expected From Contact →0.360.170.190.010.073
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-08Strikeout
2024-06-08Flyout100%
2022-08-09Pop Out100%
2022-08-09Flyout10%5%86%
2022-08-09Double7%14%78%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.