Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nolan Gorman

matchup for Caleb Thielbar

34th out of 436 (Best 9%)

Caleb Thielbar

matchup for Nolan Gorman

433rd out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Strong advantage for Thielbar

Nolan Gorman has a 27.7% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 2.1% lower than Gorman's typical expectations, and 4.2% lower than batters facing Thielbar.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.7%	18.6%	3.8%	4.9%	10.0%	9.1%	42.6%
Gorman	-2.1	-2.0	-0.1	-0.7	-1.2	-0.1	+7.2
Thielbar	-4.2	-3.2	+0.5	-0.2	-3.5	-1.0	+14.6

Nolan Gorman is worse vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Gorman has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Nolan Gorman has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Slider (L)

29%

Curve (L)

22%

16% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Gorman has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

50% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Gorman has a C grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 50%

+21%

Small Break 29%

+21%

Slow Lob 22%

+18%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

22.7% of Nolan Gorman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Strikeout +13.6% +5.2% 4%

Walk +0.6% +1.9% 45%

In Play -14.1% -7.1% 39%

On Base -6.1% -6.1% 31%

Hit -6.7% -8.0% 14%

Single -5.0% -4.3% 13%

2B / 3B -4.6% -3.9% 3%

Home Run +2.9% +0.2%

25.7% of Nolan Gorman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.7% -2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.7% -3.1% 14%

Low Screamer +1.0% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +1.1% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +4.1% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +3.6% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter +1.4% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.5% +2.4% 3%

Pop up +1.1% +5.0%

30.8% of Nolan Gorman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.2% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -5.5% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.3% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.9% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.5% -1.0%

15.6% of Nolan Gorman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%