Matchup Machine

Jose Miranda

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

285th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Jose Miranda

363rd out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Leans in favor of Miranda
1

Model Prediction

Jose Miranda has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.4% higher than Miranda's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.6%24.9%1.6%5.8%17.5%4.7%17.2%
Miranda-0.4+0.4-0.8+0.7+0.5-0.8-1.0
Weathers-0.3+3.3-0.5+0.3+3.6-3.6-7.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Miranda is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Miranda doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jose Miranda has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

10.1% of Jose Miranda's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.6% -2.1% 6%         Walk -4.1% -0.6% 35%         In Play +11.7% +2.7% 39%         On Base +1.1% +0.9% 31%         Hit +5.2% +1.5% 14%         Single +2.5% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -0.5%

History

Jose Miranda has 2 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.010.000.000.000.004
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-24Flyout100%
2024-09-24Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.