Matchup Machine

Jose Miranda

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matchup for Mitch Keller

340th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Mitch Keller

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matchup for Jose Miranda

119th out of 567 (Best 22%)

Strong advantage for Miranda
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Model Prediction

Jose Miranda has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Mitch Keller, which is 2.4% higher than Miranda's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Keller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%27.6%2.8%4.7%20.1%4.8%16.8%
Miranda+2.4+3.1+0.4-0.4+3.1-0.7-1.5
Keller+0.3+3.2+0.1-0.4+3.6-3.0-8.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Miranda is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Mitch Keller is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Miranda has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Mitch Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 34% of the time. Jose Miranda has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
12%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

10.1% of Jose Miranda's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Mitch Keller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.6% +1.0% 6%         Walk -4.1% -1.9% 35%         In Play +11.7% +0.8% 39%         On Base +1.1% +0.9% 31%         Hit +5.2% +2.8% 14%         Single +2.5% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.4% +0.0%

History

Jose Miranda has 3 plate appearances against Mitch Keller in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001000.333
Expected From Contact →0.850.000.000.850.283
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-07Field Error
2024-06-07Pop Out100%
2024-06-07Single84%15%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.