Jose Miranda has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Mitch Keller, which is 2.4% higher than Miranda's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Keller.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 32.4% | 27.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 20.1% | 4.8% | 16.8% |
Miranda | +2.4 | +3.1 | +0.4 | -0.4 | +3.1 | -0.7 | -1.5 |
Keller | +0.3 | +3.2 | +0.1 | -0.4 | +3.6 | -3.0 | -8.8 |
Jose Miranda is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Mitch Keller is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Miranda has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Mitch Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 34% of the time. Jose Miranda has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
10.1% of Jose Miranda's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Mitch Keller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Jose Miranda has 3 plate appearances against Mitch Keller in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.85 | 0.283 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-06-07 | Field Error | ||||
2024-06-07 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
2024-06-07 | Single | 84% | 15% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.