Matchup Machine

Jose Miranda

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matchup for Tanner Houck

257th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Jose Miranda

295th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Leans in favor of Miranda
2

Model Prediction

Jose Miranda has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 1.1% higher than Miranda's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%23.9%1.6%4.6%17.7%7.2%14.4%
Miranda+1.1-0.6-0.8-0.5+0.7+1.7-3.9
Houck-0.7+1.8-0.5+0.2+2.1-2.5-5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Miranda is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Miranda has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Jose Miranda has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

10.1% of Jose Miranda's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.6% -1.6% 6%         Walk -4.1% +0.2% 35%         In Play +11.7% +1.4% 39%         On Base +1.1% +0.4% 31%         Hit +5.2% +0.3% 14%         Single +2.5% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -0.9%

History

Jose Miranda has 5 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551001100.200
Expected From Contact →0.920.000.010.920.184
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-03Groundout14%86%
2024-05-03Strikeout
2023-04-20Single47%52%
2023-04-20Forceout30%70%
2023-04-20Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.