Matchup Machine

Jose Miranda

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matchup for Aaron Nola

250th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Jose Miranda

397th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Leans in favor of Nola
1

Model Prediction

Jose Miranda has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.8% lower than Miranda's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.2%24.3%2.7%6.2%15.4%3.9%23.8%
Miranda-1.8-0.2+0.3+1.1-1.6-1.7+5.5
Nola-1.3+1.9-0.3-0.1+2.3-3.2-7.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Miranda is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Miranda has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Jose Miranda hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

10.1% of Jose Miranda's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.6% +6.3% 6%         Walk -4.1% -2.8% 35%         In Play +11.7% -3.5% 39%         On Base +1.1% -4.8% 31%         Hit +5.2% -2.0% 14%         Single +2.5% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years