Matchup Machine

Jose Miranda

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matchup for Shelby Miller

195th out of 436 (Best 45%)

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Shelby Miller

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matchup for Jose Miranda

400th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Leans in favor of Miller
1

Model Prediction

Jose Miranda has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 3.0% lower than Miranda's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.0%22.5%3.3%4.5%14.7%4.5%18.0%
Miranda-3.0-1.9+0.9-0.6-2.3-1.1-0.2
Miller-2.3+1.4-0.4-0.5+2.2-3.7-6.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Miranda is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Miranda has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Jose Miranda has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   Splitter (R)
9%
   Cutter (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

10.1% of Jose Miranda's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.6% +0.3% 6%         Walk -4.1% +0.8% 35%         In Play +11.7% -1.1% 39%         On Base +1.1% -4.9% 31%         Hit +5.2% -5.7% 14%         Single +2.5% -3.1% 13%         2B / 3B +3.0% -2.8% 3%         Home Run -0.4% +0.3%

History

Jose Miranda has 2 plate appearances against Shelby Miller in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010000.500
Expected From Contact →0.000.001.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-04Double
2024-04-13Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.