Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Santiago Espinal

matchup for Graham Ashcraft

345th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

Graham Ashcraft

matchup for S. Espinal

25th out of 567 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Espinal

Santiago Espinal has a 38.1% chance of reaching base vs Graham Ashcraft, which is 5.9% higher than Espinal's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Ashcraft.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.1%	30.1%	1.7%	5.3%	23.1%	8.0%	9.4%
Espinal	+5.9	+5.6	-0.6	-0.2	+6.4	+0.3	-5.5
Ashcraft	+1.3	+3.6	-0.6	+0.2	+3.9	-2.3	-7.0

Santiago Espinal is worse vs right-handed pitching. Graham Ashcraft is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Espinal has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Graham Ashcraft throws a Cutter 51% of the time. Santiago Espinal has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

51%

Slider (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

15%

14% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Santiago Espinal has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-5%

30% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Santiago Espinal has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 30%

+21%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Minimal Break 24%

+14%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

8.7% of Santiago Espinal's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.9% lower than the league average. Graham Ashcraft strikes out 10.7% of the batters he faces, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.9% -6.0% 5%

Walk -2.3% -0.9% 35%

In Play +12.1% +6.9% 39%

On Base +7.9% +7.5% 31%

Hit +10.2% +8.4% 14%

Single +5.5% +4.3% 13%

2B / 3B +5.9% +4.7% 3%

Home Run -1.2% -0.6%

35.8% of Santiago Espinal's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Graham Ashcraft induces Standard Grounders at a 41.4% rate, which is 7.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.6% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.4% +7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer +5.6% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.6% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.5% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.6% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +1.0% -0.5%

11.8% of Santiago Espinal's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.5% lower than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.7% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +9.3% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.1% +3.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.5% -1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.5% -1.4%

9.3% of Santiago Espinal's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.7% +3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.1% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -0.3% +0.7% 18%

7 to 18° +0.5% 0.0% 15%

19 to 28° +0.3% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° -2.2% -2.6% 7%

39 to 50° -2.7% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +1.8% -1.1%

Santiago Espinal has 2 plate appearances against Graham Ashcraft in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.36	0.00	0.03	0.34			0.182

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-05-22	Double		2%	25%	73%
2022-05-22	Forceout			9%	91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe