Matchup Machine

Santiago Espinal

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matchup for Freddy Peralta

311st out of 436 (Worst 29%)

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Freddy Peralta

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matchup for S. Espinal

514th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Leans in favor of Peralta
1

Model Prediction

Santiago Espinal has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 2.6% lower than Espinal's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Peralta.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.6%19.1%2.3%4.2%12.7%10.5%17.7%
Espinal-2.6-5.4-0.1-1.3-4.1+2.8+2.9
Peralta+0.1+1.1-0.6+0.2+1.5-1.0-9.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Santiago Espinal is worse vs right-handed pitching. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Espinal has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Santiago Espinal has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
53%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

8.7% of Santiago Espinal's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.9% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.9% +8.8% 5%         Walk -2.3% +1.0% 35%         In Play +12.1% -9.8% 39%         On Base +7.9% -6.8% 31%         Hit +10.2% -7.8% 14%         Single +5.5% -3.9% 13%         2B / 3B +5.9% -3.6% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years