Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Santiago Espinal

matchup for Seth Lugo

277th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for S. Espinal

339th out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Moderate advantage for Espinal

Santiago Espinal has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.5% lower than Espinal's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.7%	25.4%	2.7%	5.0%	17.6%	6.3%	16.8%
Espinal	-0.5	+0.9	+0.4	-0.4	+0.9	-1.4	+1.9
Lugo	-0.7	+1.5	-0.4	+0.1	+1.8	-2.2	-8.1

Santiago Espinal is worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Espinal has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Santiago Espinal has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Santiago Espinal has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Santiago Espinal has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

8.7% of Santiago Espinal's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.9% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.9% +0.8% 5%

Walk -2.3% -2.3% 35%

In Play +12.1% +1.4% 39%

On Base +7.9% -0.4% 31%

Hit +10.2% +1.9% 14%

Single +5.5% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +5.9% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +0.1%

35.8% of Santiago Espinal's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.6% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.4% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +5.6% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.6% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.5% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.6% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +1.0% -2.2%

11.8% of Santiago Espinal's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.5% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.7% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +9.3% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.1% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.5% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.5% -1.6%

9.3% of Santiago Espinal's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%